መለስ የእውነት መሞታቸውን ኢሳት አረጋግጫለሁ አለ!

Abetokichaw

ለመጀመሪያ ጊዜ “ታመው በአውሮፓ ሆስፒታል እንደሚገኙ” የነገረን ኢሳት ራዲዮ እና ቴሌቪዥን ድርጅት የተለያዩ ወገኖች “ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ ሞተዋል” እያሉ ሲዘግቡ የቆዩ ቢሆንም፤ በአሁኑ ወቅት ግን አቶ መለስ የእውነት መሞታቸውን አረጋግጫለሁ አለ።

ኢሳት መቀመጫውን ቤልጄም ብራሰልስ ያደረገውን አለም “አቀፉ የግጭት አጥኚ ቡድን” እና አንዳንድ የዲፕሎማት ምንጮችን በመጥቀስ እንደዘገበው ከዚህ በኋላ “ጨዋታው አክትሟል” ብሏል።

Ethiopia PM Meles Zenawi is dead

by Abebe Gellaw

ESAT’s decision to report that Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is dead, according to reliable sources, has never been easy. It was two weeks ago that we received the news from highly credible sources in Brussels. Our sources that want to remain anonymous as they were not authorized to speak to the media on this sensitive matter told us that the International Crisis Group (ICG) concluded that Mr. Zenawi was deceased. Headquartered in Brussels, with offices around the world, ICG is the leading independent think tank on conflict prevention and resolution around the world. It was hard to ignore information from such a highly reputable international organization.

As a responsible media outlet, ESAT tried to investigate and verify the tip meticulously before it decided to broadcast the news. To be fair to the facts, we have also scrutinized the conflicting and contradictory information coming out from the ruling TPLF clique. We have examined not only the statements and stories put out for public consumption by the TPLF, but also their conducts that tell their own stories.

As Meles Zenawi’s 21-year tyrannical rule has surely come to a screeching halt, the TPLF proved to be a heap of mess without its chieftain.  Ethiopia appeared to be leaderless and cheerless. In the absence of its head, the regime appeared to be decapitated, incapacitated, incoherent, disunited, disorganized and disoriented. This is typical of a one-man regime unlike institutionally sound democratic systems (like Ghana) that cannot be easily shaken by the death or absence of one man. Like an untrained ship crew with no captain in sight, the ruling elite seem to be at a loss for direction in the face of a gathering storm.

Look no further than the contradictory statements being issued by the high priests of the ethnic front on the well-being and whereabouts of Mr. Zenawi. While rumors are abounding on the death of the dictator, none of the officials has come out with a convincing explanation where the big man is.

“He is resting from exhaustion… He will be back in ten days…. He is in hospital….No, he is on holiday…. He is in town…No, he is in Europe… No, no, no…he is relaxing in America…,” TPLF officials told the public in the past two weeks. But Zenawi is nowhere to be seen. He was neither in the palace nor in his rubber-stamp parliament making and unmaking laws. And yet, TPLF’s creative stories change within hours and each weird story adds more fuel to wild speculations and rumors.

After the May 18th incident that became a turning-point in the tyrannical life of Mr. Zenawi, he was not seen in public for four weeks. On June 18th, he finally surfaced in Mexico City where he flew to attend a G20 meeting. Instead of quashing rumors about his well-being, the PR stunt unwittingly started a more serious discussion. He significantly lost weight and looked more like a ghost than the charismatic dictator he once seemed. The Chinese state TV, CCTV, broadcast his emaciated image, which was recorded during his meeting with Chinese president Hu Jintao, proved the suspicion of so many people. That was followed by a photo opportunity with Mexican president Felipe Calderon. It was another flop. He looked haggard, tired and gravely ill. The effort led by Berhane Gebrekirstos turned out to be a PR disaster.

On July 15th the newly-formed Ethiopian National Transitional Council (ENTC) issued a press release declaring the passing away of Mr. Zenawi. The news was received suspiciously. Some people questioned the motive of ENTC to declare the death of Zenawi. In fact, those of us in the news media also felt that ENTC should have passed the information to the media for further investigation. In any case, ENTC attracted more attention on the mysteries surrounding Zenawi’s puzzling health and final destiny spurred heated debate among Ethiopians across the world.

On July 14, 2012 Zenawi reportedly passed away after suffering a few weeks of agony and pains at St-Luke University Hospital in Brussels. The news was received with mixed emotions. While most Ethiopians welcomed the departure of a brutal tyrant that has caused so much pain and suffering on millions of Ethiopians, the news upset the TPLF camp. “Liars! Liars! Liars!..,” cried out camp TPLF without producing any evidence to disprove the news.

For a few days, TPLF chose to be quite. Finally, it broke its silence via the Voice of America. On July 18, Sebhat Nega appeared on VOA Amharic service and told the apprehensive public that Zenawi only suffered a minor illness. He said he was somewhere in Europe getting medical care. According to Nega, who was widely believed to be the mentor of the former dictator, in the absence of Zenawi the “democratic institutions” were working smoothly. Until the chief comes back, according to him, the “deputy prime minister” is in charge. As usual, the old guard’s answers were deliberately vague. They raised more questions than providing any serious answers.

Crisis communication management needs skills and some touch of professionalism. So TPLF felt the need to bring out its topmost communication expert. Unfortunately, the “expert” is the least trusted and one of the most detested members of the ruling elite. It was unwise of TPLF to send out the minister of miscommunication to convince the public that Zenawi is still alive and kicking.

After cancelling his appointments with journalists a couple of times, Bereket Simon, came on July 19th to meet and greet local and foreign journalists. He was flanked by none other than Shimelis Kemal, who insisted all along that news on the illness of Mr. Zenawi was fabricated by ESAT.

Mr. Simon said that Zenawi was exhausted after working restlessly for over thirty years. So an unnamed doctor forced him to go on sick leave. He dismissed reports that he was gravely ill. According to Mr. Simon, the big boss suffered no serious illness but exhaustion that needed a break. He assured us that he would soon be in office after enjoying his holiday. He also contradicted Mr. Nega by saying that Zenawi is in charge of running the country. It appeared that the deputy was not the task of ruling the nation even if the boss is exhausted and took a sick leave.

Mr. Simon was also asked why the Prime Minister’s health and whereabouts have been shrouded in secrecy. According to the communication expert, this is something to do with the culture of the ruling party. He explained that since its days in the jungle, the ethnic front does not dwell on such matters. He gave little weight to rights of the public to know about the health or death of a ruler. Mr. Simon, who was visibly nervous and sipping a glass of water quite frequently, gave inconclusive and bizarre statements that failed to convince us that Zenawi was indeed enjoying his holiday in an unknown tourist resort.

Addis Fortune is a newspaper close to the ruling elite. It is an open secret that the publisher, Tamrat Gebre-Giorgis, is a close associate of the minister of miscommunication and other officials. On June 22, it published a front page interview with a screaming headline: “Meles back in town.” The story, which the paper run as breaking news claimed: “A day after the Ethiopian government officially announced his ailment, Prime Minster Meles Zenawi came back to Addis Abeba, according to a credible source. The Premier came back to town on Friday evening, July 20, 2012, and he is recovering well, the source revealed to Fortune.”

Fortune’s publisher also told everyone that Zenawi is expected to surprise the public by appearing at a press conference. Apparently, the credible source feeding false information is none other than Bereket Simon, who probably thought that disinformation may work to manipulate public opinion. But the widely expected press conference where Zenawi would take center stage never materialized.

Former TPLF propaganda chief and publisher of Ethiopian Reporter, Amare Aregawi, is also very close to the ruling elite. He is widely believed to be a privy to TPLF’s top guns including security chief Getachew Assefa. He too had breaking news for us. Contradicting Addis Fortune’s “big story”, he had a different headline: “Meles on vacation abroad”.

The story dated 25th July declared: “Following the prescribed sick leave, Prime Minister Meles Zenawi is currently on vacation outside Ethiopia, The Reporter learnt. Sources told The Reporter that Meles is enjoying the sick leave after he was ordered to take time outside office to recover from his illness resulted from “over workloads for more than three decades.” What was even bizarre was the fact that Reporter told us that Zenawi was enjoying his “holiday” in the United States.

That was not the end of the story coming from officials sources. On July 28, Addis Admas, another paper linked to the ruling elite published an interesting interview with none other than the famous TPLF veteran, Sebhat Nega. The stories keep on changing. But this time, it came to a full circle. He told the paper that Zenawi is having a speedy recovery. “Where is the Prime Minister,” asked the journalist.

“He is in Europe,” he answered. “Where exactly in Europe?” queried the journalist.

“I don’t know exactly ,” says Sebhat Nega, who was supposed to be in the know.

Tyrants are supposed to be seen in full control. How is it that the most visible and domineering man in the last 21 year vanishes into thin air? He is Europe, he is back in town…No, no, no…he is on holiday in the U.S.  Who should the public trust? This must be one of the worst disappearance cases ever known in the history of tyranny.

As a journalist who tried to sift fiction from facts, Meles Zenawi is not back in town, nor is he on holiday in America. As far as I am concerned, our sources at ICG are more credible. I admit that I have not personally seen a death certificate or the dead body of Ethiopia’s former dictator.

Based on the credible information we have received from Brussels, I am convinced that Meles Zenawi is dead. I do not believe that such reputable think tanks like ICG will get this wrong. For the record, ESAT never quoted ICG. It quoted anonymous but credible sources working at ICG in Brussels. We are aware of ICG’s Twit.

Unlike Aigaforum and Tigraionline’s claim’s ICG statement does not disprove the story that Zenawi is gone. The Twit in question reads: “Crisis Group is not in a position to speculate about the fate of PM Meles Zenawi, nor have we commented on it to date.” ESAT never relied on a speculation or comment from ICG. We only had privilege to access confidential information held by ICG that conclusively claimed Zenawi was dead.

I personally challenge the TPLF high command to disprove this fact instead of fabricating conflicting and contradictory stories to convince us that he was alive and kicking. Though some TPLF officials may believe that Zenawi is a superman who can be in Addis Ababa, Europe and America at the same time most Ethiopians do no buy such a fantasy.

The Ethiopian people has a right to know the whereabouts of its ruler. This will help the people of Ethiopia to make critical decisions on the future of the country. Bring Meles Zenawi out alive or in a coffin for a final farewell. Then we will stand corrected.

Whatever the case, Meles Zenawi’s grip on power is over. The political dynamics has changed permanently with his long absence and the rise of competing forces for power and control. A vicious power struggle has already begun in earnest within the TPLF clique and its servant parties.

It is fair to say good riddance to a brutal tyrant that has tortured our people for over two decades…

Ethiopia in Constitutional Crises?

By Prof. Alemayehu G/Mariam

Flag2In an interview I gave to the Voice of America Amharic program last week, I was asked to comment on the nature of constitutional succession in the event of death, disability, resignation, illness, incapacity or removal from power of the prime minster (PM) in Ethiopia. The answer I gave seems to have surprised, shocked, dismayed and appalled many. The Ethiopian Constitution makes no provisions for the orderly transfer of power in the event of a vacancy in the PM’s office. Simply stated, there is no constitutional process for succession of executive power in Ethiopia!

The issue of succession has become critical in light of the prolonged and mysterious absence of the current holder of PM’s office and the garbled official explanation for his complete disappearance from public view. Some Ethiopian opposition leaders have apparently argued for the installation of the deputy prime mister (DPM) as a constitutional successor to the PM or at least serve as acting PM until the final health status of the current holder of the PM’s office is established. Their argument is neither textually nor inferentially supported by any reasonable reading of the relevant provisions of the Ethiopian Constitution.

The office of the DPM is mentioned 4 times in the Ethiopian Constitution, three of which occur in Art. 75; and once in Article 76 in which the DPM is mentioned as a member of the Council of Ministers. Article 75 defines the totality of powers, duties and roles of the DPM:

1. The Deputy Prime Minister shall: (a) perform the duties assigned to him by the Prime Minister; (b) represent the Prime Minister in his absence. 2. The Deputy Prime Minister is accountable to the Prime Minister.

Under Article 75, the DPM is a political creature of the PM’s making, and not an actual constitutional officer with prescribed duties and functions. Unlike the PM (art. 73), the DPM is not “elected”, rather s/he is a mere political appointee who is selected by the PM. Whatever powers the DPM has comes directly and exclusively from the PM, and not the Constitution. The DPM   “performs duties assigned by the prime minister” and has no independent or residual statutory or constitutional duties or powers. The PM directs the activities, functions and roles of the DPM as the PM sees fit. The DPM can be dismissed or replaced by the PM at any time. In short, the  DPM’s office is in reality an empty constitutional shell —  a make-believe office — devoid of any constitutional or statutory responsibilities.

It is important to examine the constitutional nature of the DPM’s office more closely to understand the enormity of the constitutional crisis facing Ethiopia today regardless of whether the current holder of the PM’s office returns to office. The DPM is constitutionally designated as the “representative” of the PM. The term “representative” in Article 75 does not have the same meaning as the term “representative” in the “Council of Representatives” whose members are “elected for a term of five years” with full authority to “represent” their constituencies (Article 58).  The DPM as the PM’s “representative” is not a “PM in waiting or in the wings”. The DPM could stand in or appear on behalf of the PM as directed and assigned, or possibly “represent” the PM as an agent or proxy if specifically authorized. But the DPM  has no independent constitutional powers to “represent” the PM or perform the PM’s duties and responsibilities as the PM’s “representative”.

To be sure, there is no textual basis in Article 75 or in any other part of the Constitution to infer that the DPM can exercise any of the PM’s powers under Article 74. For instance, the DPM has no constitutional authority to function as “the head of government, chairman of the Council of Ministers and the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces” under any circumstances. Nor does s/he have the power to act as “acting prime minster” or perform in any other similar capacity in the event of a vacancy in the PM’s office or in the absence of the PM. The DPM does not have the constitutional power or authority to “direct, coordinate and represent the Council of Ministers,” or to “appoint all high government officials.” The DPM cannot “perform other duties assigned to him by this Constitution and other laws” because neither the Constitution nor other “laws” give the DPM any “duties” whatsoever to perform. Whatever the DPM does, s/he does at the direction, supervision and pleasure of the PM.  Practically speaking, the DPM is the PM’s “gofer” (errand runner) and factotutm (handy person), and not a true constitutional officer.

Analysis of Articles 72-75 (“Executive Power”) demonstrates that the DPM’s office was structurally designed as a shadow, symbolic or make-believe office with the manifest aim of giving the public impression that there is a deputy PM who could take over in the event of a vacancy in the PM’s office in the same sense as a vice president would  succeed a president. It is an office created with constitutional smoke and mirrors with the  intention of creating the illusion of a constitutional plan of executive succession without actually creating one. Article 75 could be an amazing constitutional sleight of hand or an egregious omission in constitutional design!

Is Ethiopia in Constitutional Crises?

It is manifest that Ethiopia is now facing not only a leadership and power vacuum but also a monumental constitutional crises in the absence of a constitutional plan or procedure for succession.  A constitution without a clear plan of succession is an invitation to political chaos, conflict and instability. In the United States, the Presidential Succession Act of 1947 (which supersedes other prior succession Acts) establishes the line of succession to the powers and duties of the office of President of the United States in the event that neither a President nor Vice President is able to “discharge the powers and duties of the office.” The Twenty-fifth Amendment to the United States Constitution establishes procedures for filling a vacancy in the office of the Vice President and responding to Presidential disability.

Article 60 of Ghana’s Constitution also provides clear provisions on presidential succession: “(6) Whenever the President dies, resigns or is removed from office, the Vice-President shall assume office as President for the unexpired term of office of the President… (8) Whenever the President is absent from Ghana or is for any other reason unable to perform the functions of his office, the Vice-President shall perform the function of the President until the President returns or is able to perform…” Even North Korea has a plan of succession though the process is a dynastic family affair in which power is passed from grandfather to son to grandson as we have witnessed recently.

Why is there no plan or clear statement or language on succession of executive power in the Ethiopian Constitution? I noted above that the particular design of the office of the DPM could be an amazing constitutional sleight of hand or an egregious omission and irremediable defect in constitutional design. If the drafters of the 1995 Ethiopian Constitution never anticipated, imagined, calculated or believed the person who becomes PM of Ethiopia will ever be removed from office by any means and for any reason and thus designed the DPM’s office as it is, then their omission could be regarded as a grossly negligent act of incompetence for which they should collectively suffer public condemnation and castigation. But it is unlikely that the DPM’s office was designed with such obvious oversight or inadvertence. It is not an act of omission; it is an act of commission.

A reasonable analysis of Article 75 suggests that the drafters intentionally and with great foresight designed the DPM’s office the way they did (toothless, powerless, duty-less) out of an abundance of caution to guard against any potential future loss of the PM’s office (and with it control of the state, armed forces, economy, etc.,) from the hands of those elements who have had a chokehold on the office for the past 21 years.  Given the ethnically tangled nature of Ethiopian politics, the individuals who controlled the drafting of the Constitution understood that the PM’s and DPM’s office could not be in the hands of members of the same ethnic group. That is to say, if the PM is a member of one ethnic group, the deputy prime ministership must necessarily be given to a person from another ethnic group to maintain the illusion of power sharing and play a clever political balancing game. If there is a real possibility of succession under this “power sharing” arrangement, the outcome could be potentially catastrophic to the power brokers controlling the PM’s office in the remote and unlikely event the PM is unable to discharge his/her duties and must leave office.

Under Article 75, the DPM could prove to be a Frankensteinian creation of the PM capable of destroying its own creator. If the DPM succeeds the PM, then the power brokers and structure that supported the PM could collapse with the supporters of the DPM as PM gaining power. As a result, there is high likelihood that the power brokers and supporters of the PM who vacated office could potentially lose power and influence and be marginalized under the new PM. However, the power brokers and supporters of the PM who vacated office could still maintain their power and influence by installing a DPM from one of the minority ethnic groups in the country. By making such an appointment, the PM and supporters effectively create the illusion that members of the country’s ethnic minorities are gaining recognition, power and  status hitherto unavailable or denied to them while immunizing themselves from the criticisms of other major ethnic group contenders who may be making claims to the DPM’s office.

The appointment of a DPM from a minority group ensures that  power remains in the hands of the power brokers and supporters of the PM whether the PM stays in office or vacates for any reason. The only way a DPM from an ethnic minority could survive politically as a PM is with the support of those who supported the PM who vacated office. The DPM as PM simply will not have  a sufficient support base in the party structure, bureaucracy, military, civic society, economic structure, etc. to be able to act independently. The DPM as PM could only survive as a mere puppet in the hands of the power brokers and supporters of the PM who vacated office.

Facing such a daunting constitutional dilemma, the power brokers and supporters of the current holder of the PM’s office will have no viable option but to ram through by unconstitutional means the installation of the holder of the DPM as PM. If such was the design, Article 75 could be regarded as a masterful stroke of political genius unrivalled in modern African constitutional history. The downside is that given the manifest constitutional problems of succession, other power contenders are unlikely to accept such an outcome which is patently unconstitutional and undemocratic. They may insist on a new election for a PM within a reasonable period of time if it comes to pass that the current holder of the PM’s office could no longer perform the duties of that office.

To dodge this enormous constitutional dilemma and avoid an election for a new PM at any cost, the  power brokers and supporters of the holder of the PM’s office could create various distractions and diversions. It is very likely that they could fabricate an emergency (internal by claiming insurrection or external by triggering conflict) and declare martial law.   They could engage in dilatory tactics by refusing to make firm and clear announcements on the status of the current holder of the PM’s office. They could seek the intervention or mediation of outside powers to help resolve the crisis by proposing a short-term transitional solution until a permanent solution is found either by constitutional amendment or new elections. They are likely to use the “constitutional court” under Article 83 to obtain an interpretation of Article 75 which is manifestly contrary to the plain meaning of the constitutional text. No doubt, they will have many tricks up their sleeves to get themselves out of the constitutional jam, buy time and cling to power.

The smart move for the power brokers and supporters of the holder of the PM’s office now would be to take this fantastic opportunity and offer an olive branch to the opposition and invite them to a dialogue on power sharing and other matters. There is no shame, defeat or harm in making a peace offering to the opposition. It has been done in Kenya and even Zimbabwe. It was done in South Africa under the most difficult of circumstances. It has been tried with different outcomes in Burundi, Guinea, Madagascar and the Ivory Coast.

In 2009, Kenya formed a “grand coalition government” among bitter political enemies. They were able to write a new constitution which was approved by an overwhelming 67 percent of Kenyans in 2011. In 2008, President Robert Mugabe and opposition leader Morgan Tsvangirai signed a power-sharing deal. Last week, Zimbabwe Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai pushed for approval of a draft constitution prepared by the Select Committee of Parliament on the New Constitution (COPAC). Both countries have a long way to go on the road to full democratization but they are certainly on the right track. The only sensible way out of this constitutional predicament is to follow Nelson Mandela’s prescription: “If you want to make peace with your enemy, you have to work with your enemy. Then he becomes your partner.” It’s the perfect time now for all to bury the hatchet, shake hands and get their shoulders to the grindstone and build a new Ethiopia.

Constitutional Transition From Dictatorship to Democracy

The DPM issue is only the tip of the iceberg of the enormous constitutional crises to face Ethiopia. Those of us in the business of constitutional law and analysis have known of the structural flaw in the design of the DPM’s office, the expansive nature of executive power as well as numerous other flaws in the current Constitution for a long time. Truth be told, our characterization of the current holder of the PM’s office as “dictator” over the years was not mere rhetorical flair but an accurate and precise description based on a careful and penetrating analysis of the Ethiopian Constitution and the way power is concentrated in one office and one person.

A dictator is a person “who has absolute power or authority.” That is what the 1995 Ethiopian Constitution created in Articles 72-75. Article 74 created a PM whose powers are total, unbridled and unlimited and without any plan of succession. The PM and his hand-selected Council of Ministers are the “highest executive authority” in the country. The “Prime Minister” is the “head of government, chairman of the Council of Ministers and the Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces.” The PM is only nominally accountable to the Council of Deputies and the judiciary. S/he is not accountable to the Council of Ministers. In fact, the PM has total and absolute dominance over these institutions. The PM has the power to “dissolve the Council [of Representatives] before the expiry of its term so as to conduct new elections”, dismiss or replace any member of the Council of Ministers at will and nominate and dismiss judges. Under the Constitution, the PM is accountable to no one. The PM’s word is the constitution and the law. The PM is an absolute constitutional dictator though that sounds oxymoronic!

The Life and Death of African Dictators

All dictators believe they can live forever. But only the evil they have done during their lifetimes lives forever. Sitting in the saddle of power, African dictators fear no one, not the people or even God. They have convinced themselves they are heroes and “gods” in their own right. They try to project the image of invincibility and immortality. But they are neither; they are mere mortals. They get sick, they suffer pain and they die like the people they oppressed, jailed, tortured and killed. They hold their people in total contempt and treat them like dumb children. They try to convince their people that they are healthy when they are sick and alive when they are dead.

In the past 7 years, the story we hear in Ethiopia today has been told many times in Africa. In 2005, President Gnassingbé Eyadéma of Togo, at the time Africa’s longest-ruling dictator, died of a “heart attack” as he was being rushed to Europe for treatment. Though he had heart and other serious health problems for years, those facts were hidden from the public until it was suddenly announced that he had passed away. In 2009, Gabon’s long reigning dictator, Omar Bongo Ondimba, died in a hospital in Spain. Government officials in Gabon had long denied he was sick or had any serious health problems. But Bongo had cancer. In 2009, President Umaru Yar’Adua of Nigeria reportedly left the country for what was described as “routine medical check up” in Saudi Arabia. After months of prolonged absence, he returned to Nigeria and died of lung cancer. Earlier this year, President Malam Bacai Sanhá of Guinea-Bissau died at a Paris hospital from what was officially described as “advanced diabetes” and a hemoglobin problem (possibly leukemia). Sanha denied that he had health problems and said his situation “was not as serious as people want to make out”.  President Bingu wa Mutharika of Malawi also died earlier this year from what was described officially as a heart attack after being transported to South Africa in a comatose state.

In all of these cases, the serious health issues were underplayed by the leaders themselves and their officials. They often blamed the cynical opposition for exaggerating news and information of their health condition. The officials in Ethiopia have a constitutional duty under Article 12 to perform their responsibilities “in a manner which is open and transparent to the public”. That transparency includes the duty to divulge full information to the public on the prolonged absence of the holder of the office of PM.

The life and death of President John Atta Mills of Ghana last week stands in stark contrast to the other African dictators. For the past several months, the Ghanaian public was aware that President Mills was having serious health problems.  He was making few public appearances and had retreated from public view, leaving his vice president, John Dramani Mahama, to attend public functions. Though he won the presidency by a razor-thin margin in 2009, Mills soon gained the love, respect and appreciation of his people. In its online editorial, The Nation,  Nigeria’s top circulation publication observed: “The open affection Ghanaians showed President Mills and the Ghana Parliament’s fidelity to constitutional provisions are areas Nigeria can learn from. President Mills respected his office and honoured his people by working hard for them. Little wonder, the people reciprocated by treating him as a rare hero in death.” Africa needs rare heroes. The alternative for Africa’s villains has been prophesied by Gandhi long ago: “There have been tyrants and murderers and for a time they seem invincible but in the end, they always fall — think of it, ALWAYS.”

There is a way out of the constitutional crises and dead end Ethiopian is facing today. Nelson Mandela paved that two way road in South Africa and called it “Forgiveness and Goodness.” We should all prepare ourselves and the people to travel that two-way road. It is time for national dialogue!

Amharic translations of recent commentaries by the author may be found at: http://www.ecadforum.com/Amharic/archives/category/al-mariam-amharic and http://ethioforum.org/?cat=24

Previous commentaries by the author are available at:

http://open.salon.com/blog/almariam/  and http://www.huffingtonpost.com/alemayehu-g-mariam/

Ethiopia: Widespread violations feared in clampdown on Muslim protests

Amnesty International is concerned over the fate of scores of Muslim protestors arrested in Ethiopia during July. The arrests took place in the context of ongoing protests against alleged government restrictions on freedom of religion in the country. The detainees are at risk of torture and other ill-treatment, and there have been numerous reports of beatings in detention against those arrested. Some detainees have been held in incommunicado detention since their arrest without access to family members, often in unknown locations.
Amnesty International is further concerned at widespread reports of the beating of protestors during demonstrations, and other examples of excessive use of force by the police during the arrests and the dispersal of protests, resulting in many injuries to protestors.

Those arrested in July include members of a committee of representatives selected by the Muslim community to represent their grievances to the government and at least one journalist.

Amnesty International fears that the arrests of community leaders, protestors and others in the Muslim community, and the pending charges against certain individuals, are based on their lawful exercise of the right to freedom of expression and the right to organize and participate in peaceful protests.

Addis Ababa’s Muslim community has staged regular peaceful protests throughout 2012 over grievances including an alleged government-backed effort to impose the teachings of the minority Al Ahbash sect of Islam on the majority community, and government interference in elections for the Supreme Council of Islamic Affairs. Ethiopia’s Constitution prohibits state involvement in religious affairs. The protests have regularly attracted large numbers of people over the last six months.

On 13 July a police operation targeted a gathering at the Awalia Mosque and Islamic school compound, in north-west Addis Ababa. The gathering was reportedly discussing further protests and also planning and preparing for a Sadaqah (charity) event two days later, to distribute food to people living in poverty. On entering the compound, police are alleged to have used excessive force against those present, beating many men and women in the compound and made numerous arrests.

The same evening, in response to news spreading about the events at Awalia, large numbers of people headed towards Awalia. Witnesses estimate several thousand tried to reach the compound. But the roads were blocked by police and violence flared between police and protestors. Protestors allege that police again used excessive force including beating protestors. Several sources say that police fired live ammunition, resulting in some serious injuries among the protestors.

Large numbers of those on their way to Awalia were arrested. The government confirmed that over 70 people had been detained on 13 July. Protestors and witnesses reported numbers of between 100 and 1,000 people arrested. Those detained were taken away in large military- style trucks. Detainees were first transported to Kolfe Keranyo police station, and later transferred to police stations closer to their respective homes, according to reports. Many of those detained have alleged widespread beating of detainees inside the police stations. One woman reported that she had been subjected to sexual violence by a police officer during the night of 13 July.

A large proportion of the detainees were released without charge after one or two days’ detention. However, many continue to be detained. Several members of the Awalia student council are reported to be detained in Maikelawi federal police detention centre in Addis Ababa, notorious for the use of torture against detainees during interrogation, as documented on numerous occasions by Amnesty International. Whilst the family of one detainee has been able to have contact with their relative, the families of the other members of the student council say they have not been permitted to contact or visit their relatives, in violation of the right of all detainees to have access to family members.

Other detainees arrested at Awalia on 13 July are reportedly being held in incommunicado detention without access to family members, in unknown locations. Ethiopia’s Criminal Procedure Code demands that all arrested persons are brought before a court within 48 hours to challenge the legality of the detention. Further, incommunicado detention, without access to family members and legal representatives increases detainees’ risk of being subjected to torture or other forms of ill-treatment.

Between 19 and 21 July, members of the committee of chosen representatives of the Muslim community were arrested, including Chairman Abubakar Ahmed, Spokesperson Ahmedin Jebel and committee members Kamil Shemsu, Sultan Aman, Adem Kamil, Jemal Yasim and Meket Muhe. The Committee members are reported to be detained in Maikelawi and are therefore at risk of torture or other forms of ill-treatment.

On 21 July thousands of Muslims gathered at Anwar Mosque, the largest Mosque in Addis Ababa, to protest against the events at Awalia and the arrests of members of the committee. The event became violent as protestors clashed with police. The government states that protestors threw stones and broke the windows of nearby buildings. Protesters allege that the police fired tear gas and that scores of protestors were beaten by the police. An unknown number of further arrests were made.

Other representatives of the Muslim community have been arrested at different points over the last two weeks, including at least one journalist – Yusuf Getachew of the magazine ‘Ye’muslimoch Guday’ (Muslim Affairs). Getachew is also reported to be detained in Maikelawi, and family members are currently denied access to visit him. Another person told Amnesty International that their sister was arrested and continues to be detained, after police caught her carrying a pamphlet entitled ‘Let our voice be heard.’ One woman reported that she and a group of other women had been temporarily detained by the police and threatened ‘not to go to the Mosque making demands.’ Religious scholars, artists, and other journalists are also reported to have been arrested.

Members of Addis Ababa’s Muslim community have told Amnesty International that they now feel targeted and unsafe. Significant police presence has been reported around Mosques.

The government has confirmed to Amnesty International that those members of the committee of community representatives arrested will be charged with criminal offences based on attempting to undermine the Constitutional order. However, Amnesty International is concerned that the men may have been arrested solely because of their legitimate roles as representatives of the community and their organization and participation in a largely peaceful protest movement over the last six month period.

Crimes against the Constitution are included in both the Criminal Code and the Anti Terrorism Proclamation. For many years, hundreds of members of opposition parties have been charged with such offences under the Criminal Code. More recently journalists and opposition members have been charged with similar offences under the Anti Terror law, including in prosecutions related to peaceful protests. The Anti Terrorism Proclamation contains provisions that are excessively broad and can be used to criminalize the exercise of freedom of expression, freedom of association and freedom of peaceful assembly, including organizing or participating in peaceful protests. In recent prosecutions under the Anti Terrorism law the government has equated calls for peaceful protests with terrorist activities, and several journalists and opposition members have been sentenced to lengthy prison terms on that basis.

The Ethiopian government regularly exhibits intolerance of any form of dissent. Journalistic reporting on the Muslim protests has been restricted over the last six months. In May, the Voice of America correspondent was arrested while attempting to report on a rally of the protest movement at Awalia, and was detained overnight in Maikelawi and beaten by police officers. In late July the distribution of the newspaper Feteh, one of the very few remaining independent publications in Ethiopia, was blocked by the government reportedly because its front cover, featuring stories about the Muslim protests and the health of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi, posed a threat to national security.

Amnesty International calls on the Ethiopian government to immediately and unconditionally release any individuals who have been arrested solely on the basis of their legitimate exercise of their right to freedom of expression, association or peaceful assembly, including by representing the Muslim community and engaging in peaceful protests.

All allegations of torture and other ill-treatment in detention and excessive use of force by police against demonstrators should be subject to immediate, impartial and effective investigations, and where enough admissible evidence of crimes is found, suspected perpetrators should be prosecuted.

Anyone currently held in detention must be brought immediately before a court to challenge the legality of their detention, and subsequently must be promptly charged with a lawful criminal offence consistent with international standards or released. Family members of detainees must be informed of their whereabouts and permitted access to visit them in detention. All detainees must be informed promptly of their right to consult a lawyer.

While some protestors are alleged to have used violence during recent incidents, including by throwing stones at security forces, the use of force, including lethal force, by security forces must comply with human rights standards at all times in order to protect the right to life. Amnesty International urges that any police response to further protests must comply with international requirements of necessity and proportionality in the use of force, in line with the UN Basic Principles on the Use of Force and Firearms by Law Enforcement Officials. These principles state that in the case of violent assemblies, security forces must only use firearms when less dangerous means are not practicable, and only to the minimum extent necessary. They can only be used in very limited circumstances, such as where there is imminent threat of death or serious injury and when strictly unavoidable to protect life. The use of “less than lethal” weapons including tear gas should be carefully controlled to minimise the risk of endangering people not involved in the incident. Amnesty International urges that only those law enforcement officials who are trained in the use of equipment that involves use of force such as tear gas should be authorized to handle such equipment.

Finally, Amnesty International urges the Ethiopian government to respect all Ethiopians’ right to peacefully protest, as guaranteed under the Ethiopian Constitution and in accordance with Ethiopia’s international legal obligations.

Where is Meles Zenawi? Ethiopians don’t know

By Tom Rhodes/CPJ East Africa Consultant
Rumors abound about the health and whereabouts of Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi. (AFP/Simon Maina)

If you search for the name of Ethiopia’s prime minister, Meles Zenawi, on Twitter these days, you’ll see a flurry of incongruent postings: Meles is hospitalized in critical condition; he’s fine and returning to work; he died two weeks ago; he’s on holiday. Journalists for international news outlets have tried to sort out fact from rumor, but they’ve gotten no help from Ethiopian government officials who offered only vague assurances that the country’s longtime leader was ill but recovering. In Ethiopia, where the government has imposed increasingly repressive measures on the domestic press corps, news coverage has been minimal and contradictory.
International news outlets, such as Reuters, The Associated Press, and the BBC, reported last week that Meles was hospitalized for an undisclosed condition. Reuters, citing diplomatic sources, said he was being treated in Brussels, although even that scant nugget of information was not officially confirmed.

Back home, generally pro-government papers such as Addis Fortune told readers on Tuesday that Meles had returned to Addis Ababa and would be back to work soon. The paper reported that the government provided little other information on his condition. A day later, though, the weekly The Reporter claimed that Meles was merely abroad on holiday.

The government censored the one domestic outlet that tried to report more detailed information. This weekend, the government ordered the state-run printing company not to produce the latest edition of the weekly Feteh, which was to have carried front-page coverage of Meles’ condition. The weekly, which has faced government harassment in the past over its critical coverage, had prepared stories citing information from international news outlets and an exiled Ethiopian group.

“No one has a clear idea,” said Benno Muechler, a German freelance reporter based in the capital. Muechler said he tried to get answers from the government communications office–only to be asked by officials there if he had any leads he could share. “There is an information blackout in Ethiopia,” said exiled journalist Abebe Gellaw, who works for the critical exiled broadcaster Ethiopian Satellite Television. Gellaw noted that most Ethiopians get their information from the national broadcaster, which has vaguely reported that Meles is fine and would be back at his desk soon.

But then, where is Meles, and why can’t he say this himself? “There is no trust in the media, with so many rumors. Whatever news that comes out here, nobody seems to believe it,” Muechler said.
While the Ethiopian public may be skeptical, they are definitely seeking answers. Google Trends reports that searches for Meles have spiked this month, climbing far higher than at any point since the tracking’s earliest date, in 2004. Public speculation about Meles began spreading in mid-July after the premier was conspicuously absent from the African Union Summit held in Addis Ababa. He also missed the ratification of the national budget and the official closing of parliament, according to local reports.

Journalists’ hopes that a government press conference held after the AU summit would clear up the confusion were quickly dashed. “The only thing new that came out of the press conference […] was the official breaking of government silence that has hovered over the issue for three weeks,” Tesfalem Waldyes wrote in Addis Fortune. Government spokesman Bereket Simon revealed only that the prime minister was recovering from an illness, was “exhausted” from his workload despite his “Herculean ability,” and would be back at work soon, according to local reports.

When reporters asked about all the secrecy, Bereket’s response was telling. He said the government did not want to “make a public relations piece out of it” and that the circumspection “is the culture of our party,” according to The Reporter.

Ethiopia’s ruling party has never been open to the public. Despite Bereket’s promises in the past to hold press conferences every two weeks with Meles meeting the press every two months, the government has held only two press conferences in the last eight months and it has been more a year since the prime minister met with the press, according to local reports. “There is a power vacuum at the moment, and so the information is hidden,” said one local journalist, who spoke on condition of anonymity because he feared government reprisal for offering critical comments. “The media has always been controlled by the state so the media has never developed investigative journalism in Ethiopia, and we are lost for answers,”

This information vacuum can have a detrimental effect on both the public and the government. Rumors, rather than facts, inform public opinion, and public confidence in the government is eroded. “Whenever you deliberately spread misinformation, you lose people’s trust,” Abebe told me. “The impact for the government is that it loses credibility.” The silence over Meles is the “old school way of doing things,” writes the Kenya-based Nation columnist Mwenda wa Micheni. “Presidents never went down with a cold, even in the cold months; jesters were regular features and public accounting totally absent, something that locked the continent’s potential for decades,” Micheni writes. “But even as the continent strives to get unchained, a few leaders are stuck in the mud.”

(Reporting from Nairobi)

ምንም ላለመተካት መተካካት – አሥራደው (ከፈረንሳይ)

NO from Zenawi to Zenawi

መቃብር አፋፍ ላይ ሆኖ ቅጥፈት: የስብሓት (ወልደ-ሥላሴ) ነጋ ያመረረ ፀረ-ኢትዮጵያ እና ፀረ-ህዝብ አቋም በተለያዩ ቃለ-ምልልሶች አሥረጂነት (ከሰሎሞን ወልደ-አብ)

On Sebehat nega

Dreams of an Ethiopia in Peace

Prof. Alemayehu G/Mariam
Madiba-003President Nelson Mandela turned 94 on July 18, 2012. May he live long with gladness and good health!

All who love and revere President Mandela call him Madiba. He is the ultimate symbol of human love, hope,  courage, charity, endurance, patience and perseverance. He is the personification of good will, tolerance, generosity, forgiveness and reconciliation.

In South Africa’s darkest hours, Madiba emerged from the darkest dungeons of Pollsmoor Prison wearing a big smile on his face and carrying a torch light in his hand to free all his people from a wretched prison called Apartheid. When South Africa’s fate dangled between the forces of good and evil, Madiba stepped in the middle and said, “Never, never and never again shall it be that this beautiful land will again experience the oppression of one by another.” He convinced those armed for war to disarm for peace, to bury the hatchet, dagger and arrow and to beat their swords into ploughshares, shake hands, hold hands and put their shoulders to the grindstone to build a new South Africa. When the world stood in awe of what he had done, he humbly reminded us: “I am not a saint, unless you think of a saint as a sinner who keeps on trying.” Don’t we all wish we had more sinners in high places in Africa who just keep on trying?

I have had many imaginary conversations with Madiba, but only one that I have dared to make public. In one of my weekly commentaries in May 2011, I reported on one such imaginary conversation. The topic was the triumphalism of African dictators. Somewhat impatiently, I asked Madiba: “What the hell is wrong with African dictators?!?” Madiba did not want to generalize, but he was very clear about Apartheid dictatorship and what needed to be done to restore South Africa to its timeless beauty. He said, “Never, never and never again shall it be that this beautiful land will again experience the oppression of one by another. If there are dreams about a beautiful South Africa, there are also roads that lead to their goal. Two of these roads could be named Goodness and Forgiveness.”

Nightmares and Dreams of a Beautiful Ethiopia

Among the few privileges of being a human rights advocate and an academic are telling the unvarnished truth to anyone who cares to listen, speaking truth to power and defiantly hoping (even against hope) for a future that is much better than the past. That privilege comes from the special nature of human rights advocacy. A true human rights advocate has no political ambition. The politics of human rights is the politics of human dignity, not ideology, political partisanship or the pursuit of political office. The committed human rights advocate thrives on hopes and dreams of a better future, not the lust for political power or craving for status, position or privilege. As Vaclav Havel, the late Czech Republic and human rights advocate put it, “Hope is a state of mind, not of the world. Hope, in this deep and powerful sense, is not the same as joy that things are going well,…  but rather an ability to work for something because it is good.” Defense and advocacy of human rights is something one does because it is good. As Havel said, “Work for something because it is good, not just because it stands a chance to succeed.” I have been relentlessly “sermonizing” (as some affectionately refer to my weekly commentaries) on human rights in Ethiopia and against dictatorship for many years now. I have done so not because I believed my efforts will produce immediate political results or expected structural changes overnight. I stayed in for the long haul because I believe defending, advocating and writing about human rights and righting government wrongs is right, good and the moral thing to do.

Lately, there has been much talk about nightmare scenarios and very little about dreams of a beautiful Ethiopia and the two roads that could take her to that place and moment in time where she “will not experience the oppression of one by another”. Some whisper of the nightmare of civil war if one man goes or stays? Is Ethiopia so insignificant in the eyes of man and God that her destiny is tied to or determined by what happens or does not happen to one man? Others bemoan the horrors of the past and seethe with anger and bitterness. They can only see the twilight of a vanishing order and are blinded to the sparkling new day dawning over the horizon.  Far too many exercise themselves with things that are divisive, disruptive and discordant. They seem to forget that we have strong bonds of family, history, culture, language and religion that bind us in a beautiful mosaic called Ethiopia.

There are some  who seem obsessed with speculation and rumors about the fate of a state built on the shoulders of one man. Would it not make more sense to be concerned about the plight and state of suffering of the other 90 million? Louis XIV, the absolute monarch of France who reigned for 72 years is reported to have said, “L’etat, c’est moi” (“I am the state”). Must we subject ourselves to the Sturm und Drang of  what could happen to Ethiopia after the fall of a one-man, one-party state that has been in power for 21 years? For all the speculation, guestimation and supposition on the part of the Ethiopian opposition and the secrecy, mystery, fudging, hedging and dodging by discombobulated regime officials, the answer may be the same as Mark Twain’s who upon reading his premature obituary quipped: “The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated.” Should we really be concerned about a moribund regime?

Truth be told, we should be concerned about a nation that has been in intensive care and on life support for the past 21 years and beyond. We should pray for the healing, speedy recovery and and well-being of Ethiopia. We should be searching high and low in our hearts, minds and souls for the best medication to heal Ethiopia from the cancer of tyranny and dictatorship and the pathology of hate and narrow-mindedness. We should work tirelessly to detoxify the Ethiopian body politic from the poison of ethnic domination,  sectarianism and bigotry.

To restore Ethiopia to good health, we must begin national dialogue, not only in the halls of power, the corridors of the bureaucracy and the military barracks but also in the remotest villages, the church and masjid meeting halls and other places of worship,  the schools and colleges, the neighborhood associations and in the taverns, the streets and markets and wherever two or more people congregate.  We have no choice but to begin talking to each other with good will and in good faith.

Since the beginning of 2012, I have been penning special commentaries in a series I called “Ethiopia’s transition from dictatorship and democracy”. These commentaries were fragments of my dream that Ethiopia will soon make a transition from dictatorship to democracy. Of course, dreams could easily change into nightmares.  In one such commentary, I shared my nightmares about what could happen “on the bridge from dictatorship to democracy.” I wrote, “there is often a collision between individuals and groups doggedly pursuing power, the common people tired of those who abuse and misuse power and the dictators who want to cling to power.  The chaos that occurs on the transitional bridge from dictatorship to democracy creates the ideal conditions for the hijacking of political power, theft of democracy and the reinstitution of dictatorship in the name of democracy.” In another commentary last month, I pleaded for constitutional “pre-dialogue” (preparatory conversations) in anticipation of some potential roadblocks on Ethiopia’s inexorable march to a constitutional democracy.

Recent events seem to signal the imminence of a sea change in Ethiopia. While some are preoccupied with the nightmare of what could happen in Ethiopia if one man or one party stays or goes, my nightmares have been about what those opposed to the one man will do whether he stays or goes. History shows that political transitions in Ethiopia have been nightmares, a race to the bottom. The transition from monarchy to military socialism proved to be a colossal disaster. In the name of socialism, millions perished from famine and political violence. The transition from military “socialism” to “revolutionary democracy” led to the creation of a police state in Ethiopia unrivalled in the modern history of Africa. The flicker of democracy that was seen in 2005 was snuffed out in the blink of an eye. Now, the sun seems to be setting on the police state; and it could be curtain time for the chief of police. There is volcanic pressure building up slowly but surely in Ethiopia. We see small precursor eruptions here and there.  Public dissatisfaction with the status quo has turned to utter public desperation. People cannot afford the basic necessities of life as inflation and cost of living soar to new heights. Corruption, abuse of power, massive repression and poor governance are about to blast the dome on the grumbling volcano. The situation is deteriorating by the day. One has to assume that against the backdrop of the “Arab Spring”, Ethiopia’s iron-fisted rulers must be a little worried about the winter of discontent of the Ethiopian people being made glorious by a democratic Summer.

What the managers of the police state will do or not do concern me less than what those who profess to stand for democracy, freedom and human rights will do or not do. Will they do what they have always done in the past: Never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity? Continue to play the same old zero sum game (that is, they win and everybody else loses) of politics? Play games of one-upmanship trying to outdo,  outwit, outthink, outsmart, outplay, outfox, outmaneuver and outbully each other, while those in the saddle of power laugh at them? Play the blame game, finger pointing game and demonization game to show how bad everybody is and how good  they are? Will they invent new games?

Or will the opposition collectively be able to soar to new heights of greatness? Will they forgive each other for the injuries of the past and pledge to work for a secure and just future for all Ethiopians? Will they be able to forge a partnership to deal with the multiplicity of problems facing the people? Will they lead the people to consensus by prioritizing and focusing on things for which there is broad agreement, or will they nitpick their way into a stalemate over minutiae? Above all, will they have the courage to reach out to each other in the spirit of brotherhood and sisterhood, shake hands, bury the hatchet and put their shoulders to the grindstone to work together in the cause of  freedom, democracy and human rights in Ethiopia? Will they have the courage to walk in Madiba’s footprints?:

The sight of freedom looming on the horizon should encourage us to redouble our efforts. It is only through disciplined mass action that our victory can be assured. We call on our white compatriots to join us in the shaping of a new South Africa. The freedom movement is a political home for you too…

As freedom looms over the horizon in Ethiopia, do we all have the courage, humility and foresight to say to  those in power and out of power,  “If you want to make peace with your enemy, you have to work with your enemy. Then he becomes your partner.” Is it possible to create a broad partnership of justice, equality, freedom, democracy and human rights in Ethiopia today? Could we say now to those who have a tight grip on power what Madiba said to his white compatriots then, “The freedom movement is a political home for you too…”

Hate the Sin, Not the Sinner

In his autobiography, Gandhi wrote, “Man and his deed are two distinct things.  Whereas a good deed should call forth approbation and a wicked deed disapprobation, the doer of the deed, whether good or wicked, always deserves respect or pity as the case may be. ‘Hate the sin and not the sinner’ is a precept which, though easy enough to understand, is rarely practiced, and that is why the poison of hatred spreads in the world….” If one hates another because of race, color, religion, ethnicity or other factors, the result is more hate. Madiba said, “No one is born hating another person because of the colour of his skin, or his background, or his religion. People must learn to hate, and if they can learn to hate, they can be taught to love, for love comes more naturally to the human heart than its opposite.” If hate is learned, it can also be unlearned. If love can be taught, it can be spread across the land.

We must follow Gandhi’s precept that if we must hate, we “hate the sin and not the sinner.” It is a tough precept to follow and live by. We have all been part of the problem and part of the solution at one time or another. If this is not true, then “He who is without sin should cast the first stone.” But now all of us have an opportunity  to become part of the grand solution to the political problems facing Ethiopia. It is a rare chance that comes once in generations. Let’s not squander it.

In William Shakespeare’s play Julius Caesar, Mark Antony as part of his funeral oration following the death of Caesar said, “The evil that men do lives after them; the good is oft interred with their bones…” Scripture teaches that “He that troubleth his own house shall inherit the wind: and the fool shall be servant to the wise of heart.” Those who have lived in hate and done evil in their lifetimes will have a testament in history for their deeds which will live long after they are dead and gone. If we obsess with the sinners, we will surely inherit the wind of those who have troubled their houses. We will inherit a tornadic wind that will tear the basic fabric and foundation of the Ethiopian nation. But if we focus our attention on the sin and together  atone for it, we stand to inherit democracy from the ashes of dictatorship; human rights from the depths of human wrongs; freedom from oppression, love from hate; reconciliation from animosity and forgiveness from rancor. Such are the wages of good. Those who hold the reign of power should realize that things cannot continue the way they are now. They have a simple choice to make; and in the words of  Robert Kennedy: “A revolution is coming — a revolution which will be peaceful if we are wise enough; compassionate if we care enough; successful if we are fortunate enough — But a revolution which is coming whether we will it or not. We can affect its character; we cannot alter its inevitability.” Why is it not possible to have a revolution in Ethiopia where we can all win because we are all on the side of freedom, democracy and human rights?

So, What Time Is It In Ethiopia Now?

Scripture teaches that there is “A time to love and a time to hate; a time for war and a time for peace.” So, what time is it in Ethiopia now? I say it is time for peace–high time to dream for peace. It is time to replace bitterness with reconciliation; hate with love that heals the community; revenge with forgiveness; hope with despair; hurt with healing; fear with courage; division with unity; doubt with faith; shame with honor;  deceit with candor and sincerity; anger with reason; cruelty with kindness and caring; enmity with friendship; duplicity with openness; complacency with action; indifference with passion; incivility with gracefulness; suspicion with trust; selfishness with altruism; dishonesty with integrity; convenience with virtue; cunning  with scruples; ignorance with knowledge; benightedness with imagination; acrimony with civility, desire with fulfillment and sniping and carping with with broad national dialogue. The time to talk and act is now!

Dreams of an Ethiopia at Peace: Roads to Goodness and Forgiveness

Madiba had a great dream for Africa. He said, “I dream of an Africa which is in peace with itself. I dream of the realization of unity of Africa whereby its leaders, some of whom are highly competent and experienced, can unite in their efforts to improve and to solve the problems of Africa.” Madiba said, “This must be a world of democracy and respect for human rights, a world freed from the horrors of poverty, hunger, deprivation and ignorance, relieved of the threat and the scourge of civil wars and external aggression and unburdened of the great tragedy of millions forced to become refugees.”

Madiba has always inspired me to have dreams of an Ethiopia at peace freed from the horrors of poverty, hunger, deprivation and ignorance and the scourge of civil wars. In September 2011, in one of my weekly commentaries I tried to pull together the pieces of my dream:

Ethiopia is today a dystopia–  a society that writhes under a dictatorship that trashes human rights and decimates all opposition ruthlessly. Last year, Zenawi told two high level U.S. Government officials what he will do to his opposition: “We will crush them with our full force.” All Ethiopians, regardless of ethnicity, language, religion, class or region must be able to imagine an Ethiopia where no petty tyrant will ever have the power or even the audacity to say he will “crush” another fellow citizen, or has the ability to use “full force” against any person just because he can. Ethiopians must be able to dream of a future free of ethnic strife, famine and oppression; and strive to work together for a little utopia in Ethiopia where might is NOT right but the rule of law shields the defenseless poor and voiceless against the slings and arrows of the criminally rich and powerful. It is true that Utopians aspire for the perfect society, but Ethiopians should aspire and work collectively for a society in which human rights are respected, the voice of the people are heard and accepted (not stolen), those to whom power is entrusted perform their duties with transparency and are held accountable to the law and people.

In my long-winded way, what I was trying to say was this: “Never, never and never again shall it be that this beautiful land will again experience the oppression of one by another.”

This past January, I spoke of the paradox of being a utopian Ethiopian:

Even utopian Ethiopians know that as we work for unity, they will be working double overtime for disunity. For every act done to create trust, they will fabricate ten acts to create suspicion and distrust. It is said that a thousand mile journey begins with the first step. In making its declaration, the OLF has taken a giant leap for all Ethiopians. Each one of us must now take our own small steps for our Ethiopianity (humanity before ethnicity or nationality).

My dream of Ethiopia at peace is a dream based on the idea that all Ethiopians need to be a little bit utopian. Madiba is the greatest utopian in living memory. He was utopian enough to say, “I have fought against white domination and I have fought against black domination. I have cherished the ideal of a democratic and free society in which all persons live together in harmony and — and with equal opportunities. It is an ideal which I hope to live for and to achieve. But if needs be, it is an ideal for which I am prepared to die.” Yet, he was realistic  enough to warn that if discussions and negotiations fail to resolve issues, there could be alternatives dreadful to contemplate: “There are many people who feel that it is useless and futile for us to continue talking peace and non-violence – against a government whose only reply is savage attacks on an unarmed and defenceless people. And I think the time has come for us to consider, in the light of our experiences at this day at home, whether the methods which we have applied so far are adequate.” Is it futile to begin talking in Ethiopia now? To continue talking? To choose the path of nonviolence in the face of “savage attacks on an unarmed and defenceless people”? I think not.

It is plain to all that the present system of one-man, one-party, one-everything has no future in Ethiopia. It will come to an end peacefully or otherwise, sooner or later.  But we must learn from recent history. “Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution inevitable.” That is what happened in Libya not long ago, and is happening in Syria today. There is no need to make the mistakes made in Libya or Syria.

Madiba understood that the transition from Apartheid dictatorship to majority democratic rule must involve all South Africans, not just the elites and others whose aim is to become power contenders. Madiba said:

The people need to be consulted on who will negotiate and on the content of such negotiations. Negotiations cannot take place — Negotiations cannot take place above the heads or behind the backs of our people. It is our belief that the future of our country can only be determined by a body which is democratically elected on a non-racial basis. Negotiations on the dismantling of apartheid will have to address the overwhelming demands of our people for a democratic, non-racial and unitary South Africa. There must be an end to white monopoly on political power and a fundamental restructuring of our political and economic systems to ensure that the inequalities of apartheid are addressed and our society thoroughly democratized.

All Ethiopian political and civic leaders must understand that “the people need to be consulted” and the future of our country can only be determined by a body which is democratically elected on a non-ethnic basis. It is delusional to think that the one-man, one-party model will continue unchanged. It is dumb to think that the  clever, cunning and shrewd could outwit and out power play the rest and seize political power and continue the same old game of one-man, one-party, one-everything rule. It is wise to remember the saying that “you can fool all of the people some of the time and some of the people ofall of the time; but you cannot fool all of the people all of the time.” These days it is hard to fooll anybody. Those who may be scheming to play this game should give it up and not waste their time.  It is foolhardy to think that anything other than genuine multiparty democracy fortified by the rule of law, reinforced by respect for human rights and sustained by the good will of the people could bring peace to Ethiopia. Regardless, the one-man, one-party party that has been going on for the past 21 years is now over!

It is a Tough Job, But All of Us Have to Do it!

When Madiba was released from Pollsmoor Prison in 1990, his first public words were about the unity of all South Africans, not the evils of Apartheid or the crimes and inhuman acts committed by one race over the other. Madiba said uniting the people is job one on day one:

The need to unite the people of our country is as important a task now as it always has been. No individual leader is able to take on this enormous task on his own. It is our task as leaders to place our views before our organization and to allow the democratic structures to decide on the way forward. On the question of democratic practice, I feel duty-bound to make the point that a leader of the movement is a person who has been democratically elected at a national conference. This is a principle which must be upheld without any exceptions.”

No individual leader or single organization in Ethiopia can take on the enormous task of uniting the people. It is the task of all leaders of political organizations, faith institutions, civic associations, youth and women’s groups and others to inspire the people to come together, to unite and to dream together about a new Ethiopia where no one shall again experience the oppression of one by another. It is impossible to unite the people without  detoxifying the conversation and abandoning the obsession about one man. To do what Madiba did in South Africa, we must commit to the important task now, and that is “uniting the people of our country.”

My Birthday Present to Madiba

Last week Archbishop Desmond Tutu said that “the  greatest gift we can give Madiba is to follow his  example.” So I shall give him Madiba his birthday gift by pledging to walk in his footsteps. I am eternally grateful to Madiba for what he has done for all humanity. His words and deeds have inspired me not only to speak truth to power and dream about a bright future for Ethiopia and Africa, but also to begin teaching, preaching and reaching out to all to begin a journey on the road to forgiveness and goodness. I understand Madiba’s way does not come with an iron clad guarantee of success, but I have yet to find another way that could lead to a durable peace in Ethiopia but the ways of forgiveness and goodness. I could be wrong, but I would rather take the wrong turn on Madiba’s road than take the road to nowhere because that is the alternative. Some may think I am just a naïve and gullible lawyer whose head swoons in the clouds of the ivory tower. I should like to think I have my feet firmly planted in the ground.

I do hope that there will be people who will agree with me that I am right in following Madiba’s example. Perhaps they may even consider joining me on that long and hard road despite their fears of being sneered and jeered along the way. But I shall travel that road in Madiba’s footsteps alone if I must. Henry David Thoreau said, “If a man does not keep pace with his companions, perhaps it is because he hears a different drummer. Let him step to the music which he hears, however measured or far away.” And if I should get tired walking alone, I will just limp along behind the millions of Ethiopians who will be marching on Madiba’s way lockstep to the drumbeat of freedom, democracy, dignity and peace. But before rushing to judge me harshly or kindly, forget not that I am just a utopian Ethiopian. “Some men see things and say, ‘Why?’ But I dream things that never were; and I say, ‘Why not?’”.  Why not walk in Madiba’s footsteps? Why not dream of Ethiopia with her children at peace? Why not outdream each other about what is possible, viable and attainable in beautiful Ethiopia? Let us all become utopian Ethiopians! Why not?

Happy 94th Madiba! Long Live Madiba!  Long Live Nelson Mandela! Long Live Ethiopia!

መለስ ወደ ውጭ – መለስ ከውጭ

መጋቢት 25/1982 ዓ.ም ዋሽንግተን ዲሲ 14ኛው መንገድ ቦታውም የህወሀት ፅ/ቤት፡፡ አንድ ያለማቆም ሲጋራ የሚያጨሱ፣ በፅ/ቤቱ በባዶ እግራቸው ዘና ብለው ቁጭ ያሉ፣ እንግሊዘኛቸው የሚያምር በኢትዮጵያዊ የንግግር ዘይቤ የተካኑ ወጣት  ከቀድሞው የCIA ኤጀንት እንዲሁም አፋቃሬ ኢትዮጵያዊው (Ethiopianist) ፖል ሄንዝ ጋር ለውይይት ቁጭ ብለዋል፡፡ በንግግራቸው መጀመሪያም ወጣቱ ፖል ሄንዝን እንዲህ ሲሉ ጠየቁት፡
‹‹አንተ የፃፍካቸውን ብዙ ነገሮች አንብቢያለሁ በሁሉም ነገሮችህ እስማማለሁ ነገር ግን ለምን ማራክሲስቶች እያልክ ትጠራናለህ?››
ፖል ሄንዝም፡
 ‹‹ምክንያቱም እናንተ እራሳችሁን ማርክሲስቶች ነን እያላችሁ ስለምትጠሩ ነው፡፡ አልባኒያን እንደ ሞዴል አድርገን የተቀበልን ነን ትላላችሁ፡፡ ለስታሊንም ተለየ ፍቅር እንዳላችሁ ሪፖርቶች ያሳያሉ‹‹ ይሏቸዋል፡፡
 ወጣቱ ቀበል አድርገው: ‹‹እኛ ማርክሲስት-ሌኒኒስት እንቅስቃሴዎች አይደለንም፣ በትግራይም ማርክሲዝም እና ሌኒኒዝምን ተግባራዊ አናደርግም፡፡ አዎ አንዳንድ አባላት ማርክሲስት ሌኒኒስት ሊሆኑ ይችላሉ እኔም በተማሪነት ዘመኔ ነበርኩ፣ አሁን ግን አለም ላይ ምን እየተካሄደ እንዳለ እናውቃለን፣ የውጭ ርዕዮተ አለምም ለኛ መፍትሄ ይሆናል ብለን አናምንም፣ የራሳችን ባህል እና ወግ የጠበቀ ስርዓት መፍትሄ ነው ብለን እናምናለን›› በማለት ተኮትኩተው ያደጉበትን ማርክሲዝም በካፒታሊዝሙ አለም መሪ ዋና ከተማ ቀበሩት::

የ ያኔው ወጣት  የዛሬው ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ ዜናዊ ናቸው::
ታዳጊው መለስ
ካርል ማርክስ ‘የግል ሀብት የህብረተሰብ ችግር ነው፣ ሀብታም ደግሞ የህብረተሰቡ ሳንካ ነው’ ማለቱን እጅግ በጣም ትክክለኛ ሀሳብ ነው ብሏል ያ ትውልድ ፡፡ የዊንጌቱ መለስም ዩንቨርስቲ ሲገቡ ይሄን ሀሳብ በልቦናቸው አዋሉት፡፡ የሀብታሞች መንግስት ነው ያሉትን ንጉሳዊ ስርዓትም ከጓዶቻቸው ጋር በጩኸት አፈረሱት፡፡ የንጉሱ ስርዓት መገርሰስ ግን ለመለስ በቂ አልነበረም ይልቅስ ወደ ስልጣን የቀረበው ወታደራዊ መንግስት የትግራይን ህዝብ ጥያቄ አልመለሰም እንዲያውም የትግራይ ህዝብ  ከሌላው የኢትዮጵያ ህዝብ ተገንጥሎ የራሱን ሀገር መመስረት አለበት፣ ሌኒን እና ስታሊም የራስን እድል በራስ የመወሰን መብት ለጭቁኑ ህዝብ ዋነኛ የነፃነት መሳሪያ ነው ይላሉ ብለው በማመን ተኻህትን ተቀላቀሉ በተኻህት የመጀመሪያ ማንፌስቶም ‘ነጻ ትግራይን’ ለመመስረት ከጓዶቻቸው ጋር ተስማሙ የማንፌስቶውንም መዝጊያ ‹‹ኢምሪያሊዝም ይንኮታኮታል›› በማለት የምዕራቡን ካፒታሊስት ስርዓት አጣጣሉ፡፡ የቀድሞው  ተጋድሎ ሓርነት ሕዝቢ ትግራይ (ተሓህት) የበኋላው ህወሀት በትግል አስር አመታትን ካሳለፈ በኋላ አቶ መለስ ወደ ስልጣን ማማ የሚያወጣቸውን አንድ መንገድ ቀየሱ በህወሀት ውስጥ አንድ ተጨማሪ ሊግን ማቋቋም ሊጉንም ማርክሲስት ሌኒኒስት ሊግ ኦፍ ትግራይ (ማሌሊት) አሉት ሊቀመንበርነቱንም ተቆናጠጡ፡፡
 
መለስ በትግል ወቅት
እንግዲህ አቶ መለስ ከተማሪነት ጊዜያቸው ጀምሮ ደርግ እስከ ወደቀበት ጊዜ ድረስ ለአለማቀፉ ህብረተሰብ የነበራቸው አስተሳሰብ በካቲታሊስት-ሶሻሊስት ንጽርኦተ አለም (World Outlook) አስተሳሰብ የተቃኘ ነበር፡፡
የአለም ጭቁን ህዝቦች ነፃ የሚወጡት የግል ሀብት ሲጠፋ(On the abolishing of Private property) ነው የብሄሮችን ነፃነት በቡድን መብት አስተሳሰብ አማካይነት መመለስ አለበት፣ ይሄም በሩሲያ መሪነት የምስራቁ አለም ርዕዮት ስለሆነ ለምስራቁ ጎራ መልካም አመለካከት ነበራቸው:: በመጨረሻም የአልባንያን ሶሻሊዝምም እንደ ትክክለኛ ሞዴል በመውሰድ የሀገሪቱ አዳኝ አድርገው ተቀበሉ የያኔው መለስ፡፡
ከቀብር መልስ  
ከላይ በመግቢያችን አንደጠቀስነው አቶ  መለስ በዋሽንግተን ቆይታቸው ማርክሲስትነታቸውን ቀብረዋል፡፡መለስ ማርክሲስትነታቸውን ከቀበሩ በኋላ ደርግ ወደቀ፣ የሀገሪቱን አመራርነትም ተረከቡ፣ ፍቅራቸውንም ከምእራቡ አለም ጋር አደረጉ፡፡ ምእራቡ አለም ሀገሪቱን ከህዝብ ብዛቷ አንፃር እንዲሁም የአፍሪካ ቀንድ ማዕከል መሆኗን ከአካባቢው መረጋጋት ጋር ብሎም ለመካከለኛው ምስራቅ የወደብ መቆጣጠሪያ (Light House) አድርጎ ማሰቡ ግንኙነቱን ከኢትዮጵያ ጋር ለማጠናከሩ ጠቃሚ ሆኖ ሊያገኝው ችሏል፡፡ በዚህ ላይ ደግሞ የፀረ-ሽብር ትግሉ (War on Terror) እና የኢትዮጵያ የሱማሊያ ጎረቤት መሆን ኢትዮጵያን እንደ ጠቃሚ አጋር ለማየት አስቻለው አለማቀፉን ህብረተሰብ፡፡
አቶ መለስም ይሄን የአለም አቀፉ ህብረተሰብ በተለይም የምዕራቡን ፍላጎት የተረዱ ይመስላሉ፡፡ ለዛም ነው ‹‹ሁሌም ከእናንተ ጋር ነን›› ብለው ምዕራቡን በፍቅር የከተቡት፡፡ በዛ ላይ የንግግር ተሰጥኦአቸው (Oratory) ታክሎበት የምእራቡን አይን እንዲያማልሉ አስችሏቸዋል፡፡
 
የ G-20 ስብሰባ ሶል ፣ ደቡብ ኮሪያ
የቀድሞው የእንግሊዝ  ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትርቶኒ ብሌር በአንድ ወቅት የአፍሪካ ተራማጅ መሪዎች (The New Progressive Leaders of Africa) ዝርዝራቸው ውስጥ መለስን ከቀዳሚዎቹ ስፍራ አሰልፈዋቸዋል፡፡
በዚህ የጫጉላ ወቅት መለስ ሁሌ ከምእራቡ አለም ጋር የሚነያታርካቸው ጉዳይ የሰብዓዊ መብት አያያዝ እና ከአለማቀፍ የገንዘብ ተቋማት (Bretton Woods Institution) የሚቀርብላቸው ጥያቄ ነው፡፡ ሰዎች ያለአግባብ ይታሰራሉ፣ ዲሞክራሲንም አስረዋል፣ ህግና ስርዓት ፈረሰ ወ.ዘ.ተ ይሏቸዋል የሰብዓዊ ተቋማቱ በሌላ በኩል ደግሞ አለም አቀፍ የገንዘብ ተቋማቱ የፋይናንስ ተቋማትን ለውጭ ባለሀብቶች ክፍት አድርጉ፣ ሞኖፖሊዮችን ለቀቅ አድርጉ፣ የኢኮኖሚውን አወቀቀር አስተካክሉ (Structural Adjustment) ወ.ዘ.ተ ይሏቸዋል፡፡ በዚህ ሁሉ ጊዜ የመለስ መልስ ለዘብተኛ ነበር፡፡ ዲሞክራሲን በቻልነው መጠን እያሳደግነው ነው፣ ህገመንግስቱን እያስፈፀምነው ነው በርግጥ በአፈፃፀም ደረጃ አንዳንድ ጥቃቅን ችግሮች ይከሰታሉ እነሱም በቀጣይ የማስፈፀም አቅማችን ስናዳብር የሚስተካከሉ ናቸው እያሉ የሰብኣዊ ተቋማቱን ቁጣ ለማብረድ ይጥሩ ነበር እንዲሁም ጊዜው ገና ነው፣ ልማታችንን ተደራሽ ካደረግን በኋላ ለግል ባለሀብቶች ኢኮኖሚው ሙሉ ለሙሉ ክፍት ይሆናል እያሉየምዕራቡን አለም በተስፋ ፈገግ ያስብሉት ነበር መለስ በዚህ 14 ዓመት በዘለቀ የምዕራቡ አለም ፍቅራቸው ዘመን፡፡
መለስ እንደገና፣ ከቀለም አብዮት እሰከ ኒዮ ሊበራሊዝም
ግንቦት 26 ቀን 2000 ዓ.ም አዲስ አበባ የጠቅላይ ሚኒሰትሩ ቢሮ የመሰብሰቢያ አዳራሽ ወንበሮች በሙሉ ጭንቀት በወረራቸው የመንግስታዊ ያልሆኑ ድርጅቶች ሀላፊዎች እና ሰራተኞች ተሞልቷል፡፡ ሁሉም በያለበት አዲስ ስለተረቀቀው የማህበራት እና ሲቪል ሶሳይቲ አዋጅ መንፈስ ላይ ይወያያል፡፡ የውይይቱ ዋነኛ ማጠንጠኛዎችም ሁለት አንቀፆች ናቸው፡፡ ‹‹ከ10 በመቶ በላይ አመታዊ ባጀቱን ከውጭ ለጋሽ የሚቀበል ማንኛውም መንግስታዊ ያልሆነ ድርጅት በፓለቲካዊ አድቮኬሲ ስራ እንዲሁም ትኩስ (Sensitive) የሆኑ የማህበረሰቡ አካላት ጋር የተያያዘ ስራ መስራት አይችልም›› የሚለው እና ‹ሁሉም መንግስታዊ ያልሆኑ ድርጅቶች ከበጀታቸው ከ30 በመቶ ያልበለጠውን ገንዘብ ብቻ ነው  ለስራ ማስኬጃ ማዋል የሚችሉት›› የሚሉት አንቀፆች የታዳሚውን ቀልብ ስበዋል፡፡ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስም የእነዚህን ሁለት ጉዳዮች ምንነት ለማስረዳት ነው በቦታው የተገኙት፡፡ ንግግራቸውንም እንዲህ ሲሉ በጠነከሩ ቃላት ጀመሩ፡
‹‹ገንዘብ ከውጭ፣ ሰው ከሀገር ውስጥ በመደባለቅ ኢትዮጵያዊ ሲቪል ሶሳይቲ መፍጠር አይቻልም፡፡ከጡጦ በሚንቆረቆር ገንዘብ ዲሞክራሲ ይኖራል ለማለት የማይቻል ነው፡፡ በዲሞክራሲ ተዋናይ ለመሆን የውጭ ገንዘብ ያስፈልጋል የሚለው አባባል አደገኛ ድንቁርና ወይም ስድብ ነው፡፡ በውጭ ገንዘብ የሚደረግ የፖለቲካ እንቅስቃሴ ተንጦ ቅቤ አይወጣውም፡፡›› በማስከተልም ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ ተደናግጦ የሚመለከታቸውን ታዳሚ እያማተሩ ‹‹በሞግዚት ዲሞክራቲክ መሆን አይቻልም፡፡በኢትዮጵያም ሆነ በሌላ ሀገር ዲሞክራሲ፣ መልካም አስተዳደር እና ሰብዓዊ መብት በጡጦ ሊጠባ አይቻልም፡፡ ጡጦ ካላስፈለገው ባለጡጦ አያስፈልገውም፡፡በውጭ ገንዘብ እና አይዲያ ላይ የተመሰረተ የዲሞክራሲ እድገት በእባብ አንቁላል ላይ የተመሰረተ ርቢ ማለት ነው፡፡የማይመለከታችሁ ቢላዋ ይዛችሁ እሰው አንገት አካባቢ እስካላሽከረከራችሁ ድረስ መስራት ትችላላችሁ፡፡ ቀይ መስመሯን ስትሻገሩ የጨዋታው ህግ ይቀየራል፡፡ በቢላዋ ጉዳይ ጥያቄ ወይም ኮምፕሮማይዝ የለም፡፡››
ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩን ለዚህ ዛቻ መሰል ንግግር ያበቃቸው ምንድን ነው? ብለን ስንጠይቅ የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ አለማቀፋዊ ፍቅር እንደገና ምዕራቡን አለም እንደተፋታ ለማየት እንችላለን፡፡ ኢህአዴግ እንደ ፓርቲ ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ እንደ አንድ የፓርቲ መሪ ግለሰብ ምርጫ 97ን ተምረንበታል ይላሉ፡፡ ከቀዳሚዎቹ የምርጫ 97 ትምህርቶች መካከል የሲቪል ሶሳይቲው ሚና መሆኑ ምርጫውን ከመጀመሪያ እስከ መጨረሻ የተከታተለ ሁሉ የሚስተው ጉዳይ አይደለም፡፡ በጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ እና በፓርቲቸው እምነትም ሲቪል ሶሳይቲው ውጭ ሁነው በሚዘውሩት እና የራሳቸው የተለየ አጀንዳ ባላቸው ሀይሎች እየተደገፈ ተቃዋሚዎቹን በጭፍን ረድቷል ይሄ እርዳታም መንግስትን በምርጫ ከማስወገድ ባለፈም በህዝባዊ አመጽ  ወይም በተለምዶ ቀለም አብዮት ተብሎ በሚጠራው እና ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ ባንድ ወቅት ‘የቅጠላ ቅጠል’ አብዮት ብለው ያሾፉበት እና በምስራቅ አውሮፓ ተሞክሮ የታየውን አይነት ለውጥ እስከማካሄድ ድረስ ይዘልቃል ባይ ናቸው፡፡ ለዚህም ዋነኞቹ አንቀሳቃሾች አንዳንድ የምዕራብ ሀይላት ናቸው በማለት መለስ ስልጣን በመያዛቸው ዋዜማ የተጋቡትን የምዕራብ ፍቅር ተጣሉት፣ አኮረፉት፡፡
ይባስ ብሎ በዛው በመጋቢት 2000 ዓ.ም ጠቅላይ ሚኒስትር መለስ የዶክትሬት ዲግሪ ማሟያ ፅሁፋቸውን የመጀመሪያ ድራፍት በተባበሩት መንግስታት ድርጅት የስብሰባ አዳራሽ ለውይይት አቀረቡ፡፡ የፅሁፋቸው ዋነኛ ማጠንጠኛም የምዕራቡን አለም ፖለቲካል-ኢኮኖሚ በማጣጣል ለአፍሪካ የሚበጃት ከምስራቁ ተሞክሮ መውሰድ ነው በማለት እነ ደቡብ ኮሪያን፣ ቻይናን እና ሲንጋፖርን እየጠቀሱ አዲስ ወዳጅ ፍለጋ ፊታቸውን ከምዕራቡ አለም መለስ አድርገው ወደ ምስራቁ ማማተር ያዙ፡፡ ማርክሲስቶች ኢምቴሪያሊዝም ይውደም ባሉበት ድምፀት መለስም ኒዮ ሊብራሊዝም ይውደም ማለትን አዘወተሩ፡፡
ግለሰቡ መለስ
መለስ አቋማቸውን ህዝቡ ላይ ካሰረፁ በኋላ በግላቸው ስብእናቸውን ለመገንባት መሯሯጣቸው አልቀረም፡፡ ለዚህም ዋነኛ ተጠቃሽ የሚሆነው የጠቅላይ ሚኒስትሩ አፍሪካን ይወክላሉ፣ ልዕለ-ሰብነት አላቸው የሚለውን አመለካከት በአለማቀፉ ህብረተሰብ ውስጥ ሊተክሉ መቻላቸው ነው፡፡
ወደስልጣን እንደገቡ በርቀት ትምህርት ከእንግሊዙ ኦፕን ዩንቨርስቲ በቢዝነስ አዲሚንስትሬሽን የማስተርስ ዲግሪ ሲይዙ ዩንቨርስቲው የመለስን ውጤት ‹‹One of the best result in Open University’s History›› ሲል ነበር የገለፀው፡፡ በማስከተልም ከሮተርዳሙ ኢራስመስ ዩንቨርስቲ ሌላ ማስተርስ በኢኮኖሚክስ በመያዝ ስብዕናቸውን ያዳበሩ ሲሆን እንደ ጆሴፍ ስቲግሊትዝ እና ጀፍሪ ሳክስ ከመሳሰሉ ትልልቅ ስብእናዎች ጋር በመሻረክ እንዲሁም ፈጣን እና ቀልጣፍነታቸውን በመጠቀም ለአለማቀፉ ህብረተሰብ መለስ እንደ ታላቅ ምሁር ሁነው ቀርበዋል:: ለዚህም ትክክለኛ አመላካች የሚሆንልን የእንግሊዝ የአለምአቀፍ ልማት ሀላፊ የነበሩት ክሌር ሾርት በአንድ ወቅት ስለ መለስ ሲናገሩ፡‘the most intelligent politician I’ve met anywhere in the world’. በማለት ነበር፡፡ ይህ የመለስ ስብእና በተለይም በአፍሪካ መሪዎች ዘንድ ጎልቶ የሚንፀባረቅ ምስል ነው፡፡ ለዛም ይመስላል አፍሪካን በመወከል መለስ ቅድሚውያን የሚይዙት፡፡
የመለስ ካሮት እና ዱላ
<<Meles Zenawi is the cleverest and most engaging Prime Minister in Africa – at least when he talks to visiting outsiders. When he speaks to his fellow Ethiopians, he is severe and dogmatic. But he entertains western visitors with humor and irony, deploying a diffident, self-deprecating style which cleverly conceals an absolute determination to control his country and its destiny, free of outside interference.>>

ይህ ከላይ ተጠቀሰው ፅሁፍ የሮያል አፍሪካ ሶሳይቲ ሊቀመንበር የሆኑት ሪቻርድ ዳውደን መለስ ዜናዊኢትዩጵያን እንዴት እየመሯት ነው? (How Meles Zenawi Rules Ethiopia?) ያሉት ፅሁፋቻው መግቢያ ነው፡፡

መለስ አለማቀፉን ህብረተሰብ ሲቀርቡ ተለሳልሰው ይቀርባሉ፣ቃል ይገባሉ፣ ጊዜ ስጡን ይላሉ ነገሩ ከረር ሲልባቸው ዱላቸውን ይመዙና እኛ ለማንም የውጭ ሀይል አንንበረከክም ብትፈልጉ በሊማሊሞ ማቋረጥ ትችላልችሁ እያሉ ሊያስፈራሩ ይሞክራሉ፡፡ ለዚህ ጥሩ ማሳያ የሚሆነው ምርጫ 2002 ነው፡
 
መለስ ከቻይናው ፕሬዘደንት ሁጅን ታኦ ጋር በቻይና አፍሪካ የትብብር ፎረም ላይ
‹‹ምርጫው ከመካሄዱ በፊት ከአለም አቀፍ ዲሞክራሲ ተቋማት ቃል በቃል የተገለበጠ የምርጫ ስነምግባር ደንብ አለ በሱ ላይ እንፈራረም እና ምርጫውን በሰላም እናስኪደው›› አሉ በፓርቲያቸው አማካኝነት፡፡ ‹‹አይ ምህዳሩ እንዲህ በጠበበት ሁኔታ ስለ ስነምግባር ማውራት ከባድ ነው መጀመሪያ ምህዳሩን ለቀቅ ያድርጉት›› ሲባሉ አሻፈረኝ አሉና ምርጫ አካሄዱ ውጤቱንም አለማቀፉ ህብረተሰብ እንደማይቀበለው ባወቁ ጊዜ አለማቀፉን ህብረተሰብ በተለይም የሰብዓዊ መብት ተሟጋች ተቋማትን የሚያወግዝ ሰልፍ በመላው ኢትየጵያ ጠሩ ‘NO, to TROJAN HORSE’ የሚል የእንግሊዘኛ መፈከር አሸክመውም ካሮቱን አልበላም ያለውን አለማቀፉ ህብረተሰብ በዱላ ዳሰስ አደረጉት፡፡
አለማቀፉ ህብረተሰብም በአካባቢው ካለው ሌሎች ፍላጉት አንፃር መለስን በድፍረት ተው ማለት አልፈለገም ከላይ የጠቀስናቸው ሪቻርድ ዳውደን አንድ የአሜሪካን ዲፕሎማትን ጠቅሰው ‹‹ይህ የሙባረክ አባዜ (Mubarak Syndrome) ነው›› ይላሉ ማለትም “We only talked to Mubarak about Egypt’s role in the region, never about what was happening inside Egypt. It’s the same with Ethiopia.” ፡፡
መለስ ለነገ
ከማርክሲዝም ወደ ካፒታሊዝም (በእርሳቸው ቋንቋ ወደ ነጭ ካፒታሊዝም) ከዛም ምንነቱን ያልለየለት ‘የልማታዊ መንግስት’ ርእዮተአለም አራማጅ ነኝ እያሉ ያሉት መለስ የሀገሪቱን የውጭ ፖሊሲዎች በግል ፍላጎታቸው ስር አድርገዋል ይሏቸዋል ተችዎቻቸው፡፡ ለምን እንዲህ አደረክ ሲባሉ የሚያኮርፉት መለስ የግል ወዳጆቻቸው የኢትዮጵያ ወዳጆች እንዲሆኑ ነው ጥረታቸው እንጅ ሀገራዊ ጥቅምን(National Interest) ያገናዘበ አይደለምም ሌላው ትችት ነው፡፡ እንግዲህ መለስ ስልጣን አስረከቡ እንበልና የመለስ የውጭ ግንኙነት ውርስ (Legacy) ምን ሊሆን ይችላል?

Ethiopia PM Zenawi in ‘critical’ state in Brussels

AFP

 Source
  • Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi (seen in Cairo in 2011) is in a Brussels clinic and is in a "critical" state, several diplomatic sources told AFP on Wednesday. "He is in a critical state," said a diplomat who asked not to be named. (AFP Photo/Khaled al Fiqi)Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles …

Ethiopian Prime Minister Meles Zenawi was in a Brussels hospital in a “critical” state Wednesday, several diplomatic sources told AFP, but the Ethiopian government denied he was unwell.

“He is in a critical state, his life is in danger,” said a diplomat who asked not to be named.

In Addis Ababa, however, government spokesman Bereket Simon denied reports that the 57-year-old premier was ill. “He is not in a critical state. He is in good condition,” the spokesman told AFP.

In Brussels, the Ethiopian embassy refused comment.

Questions were raised about Meles’ health when he missed a two-day African Union summit Sunday and Monday.

Diplomats in Brussels said he had been undergoing regular treatment on a private basis at one of the city’s major hospitals and had been in hospital for some days.